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אבל השוק כבר לא מתגרש מכלום אפילו נתון הCPI היום לא הזיז את השוק
אומנם יש גאפים לסגור במדדים לא כל הגאפים נסגרים ראו ערך איזור 5616 בSP 500 25 למאי 2025 , בחוזים העתידים 99 % מהגאפים נסגרים !
שימו לב לגרף של אפריל 2025 גם שם השוק פתח בגאפים במדדים עצמם
והגאפים לא נסגרו לכן לדעתי אנחנו רואים שידור חוזר ולא נחזור מטה יותר !
לא ראינו במלחמה הזאת יום של ירידות חדות שנה שעברה סטייל 4 % ומעלה
ראינו ירידות של 2 % שזה הכי הרבה בגל הזה , אבל זהו אם השוק קונה כל דיפ
זה אומר דרשני שלחכות לתחתית בסוף יהיה פספוס כי השוק יכול בקלות לחזור לשיא כל הזמנים ,מה גם אומנם השוק 2.5 %מהשיא , אבל הקרנות מחקות מדד כ8 % מהשיא בגלל שער הדולר הנמוך לכן כשהדולר שקל יעלה מעל 3.20 זה יתקזז כמובן
לכן ראינו אתמול בקרנות מחקות מדדים מחזורים ענקים !
שום דבר לא המלצה.
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7000 יהווה תמיכה במפולת הבאה
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השאלה איפה התמיכה מעכשיו במידה ויבוא תיקון עמוק ?
בארה''ב יורדים תמיכות חזקות בחודשי בארץ ?
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2010 -2020 רשם תשואה ממוצעת של 3.7 שנתי % שזה כלום ושום דבר
לעומת כ12 % בSP שנתי ממוצע כמובן
מי אמר שזה לא יחזור ? לטווח ארוך אני עדיין מעדיף את ארה''ב כשהשקעת ערך פסיבית!!
בגרף יומי אנחנו מעל התמיכה ויכולים להמשיך מעלה כל עוד מעל ממוצע 200
ובשפלים עולים
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